A personal idea, not affiliated with or endorsed by any organization. Figures are cited on each slide; nothing marked "to measure" has been measured.

Shark Tank pitch · October 2026

AI passes the dental exam.

It fails the real patient.

And no one tests whether it links the mouth to the rest of the body, or helps people get care. Oral health for all means fixing the test.

Health Transformation Lab

Working name · a personal idea

John Bowyer · personal project, not affiliated with any organization

How AI is graded today

Exam: pass. Patient: fail. Social factors: untested.

The exam

81%

AI’s score on the dental licensing exam.

Real patients

22%

Its score on real patient cases.

Safety

1 in 3

answers was rated unsafe. Where medicines are involved, 1 in 7 risked harm that cannot be undone.

The missing test: social factors

None

No scorecard checks if AI is accurate on the social factors that decide care: cost, coverage, distance, transportation.

AI is graded on public scorecards (called benchmarks), and AI companies compete on the scores. The first one for dentistry came out this year, so the questions are being written now.

Averages for 12 AI models, from OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, xAI and others · GlobalDentBench 2026; first search Oct 2026 · 2

What unsafe looks like

Where AI is most dangerous: medicines and emergencies

1 in 7

answers involving medicines and medical conditions risked harm that cannot be undone.

1 in 11

answers on anesthesia and medical emergencies did the same.

Someone asks

“I take a bone-strengthening medicine. Is it fine to get a tooth pulled?”

The unsafe answer

“Yes, it is a routine procedure.” It never asks about the medicine.

The harm

In some patients on these medicines, the jawbone does not heal after an extraction. That is permanent.

The pattern across medicine: about 3 in 4 harmful AI errors are things it left out, not things it got wrong.

The example illustrates a harm GlobalDentBench (2026) names. The 3 in 4 is from NOHARM (Stanford-led ARISE network, 2026) · 3

Where oral health meets overall health

The mouth is part of the body. The tests treat it as separate.

Emergency rooms

1.9M

visits a year to US emergency rooms for tooth problems. Medicaid is the most common payer.

Chronic disease

Both ways

Diabetes and gum disease (periodontitis) are linked: each is associated with worse control of the other.

Medicines

Ask first

A bone-strengthening medicine can change whether a tooth extraction is safe. The answer has to ask.

The biggest lift is at the seam. The ER doctor sees the tooth; the dentist sees the medicine list. Both now ask AI, and no test checks whether it connects the two.

CDC NCHS Data Brief 531 (2025; visits 2020–2022) · EFP and IDF consensus report on periodontitis and diabetes (Sanz et al., 2018) · GlobalDentBench 2026 · 4

Where the impact is

From thousands, indirectly, to millions, directly

How oral health research reaches people todayWhat the lab adds
Who it reachesThousands of expertsMillions: 40 million a day ask OpenAI’s AI about health
HowIndirectly: experts find the papersDirectly: the questions are on the scorecard
WhereJournals, reports and data portalsPublic AI tools and public scorecards
Who checksEach study measures itselfThird parties verify it

The main move. Put the medical-dental link and the social factors of care on AI’s public scorecards, each question traced to published evidence. An open AI agent then shows the lift.

Research keeps its place. This adds a public channel · Source: OpenAI, Jan 2026 (global) · 5

The ask

180 days to make the test fairer

What we do

  • Write the missing scorecard questions on the medical-dental link and the social factors of care, each linked to published evidence
  • Test the major AI models, with and without an open agent, and publish the results
  • With partners, take the results to the AI companies and the scorecard owners, and ask for change

If it works

  • AI graded on the medical-dental link and the social factors of care, not only clinical knowledge
  • Public evidence as the source behind every question
  • The major AI models held publicly accountable for accuracy, for the size of a small marketing budget

The ask: a small team, 5 to 10 hours a week each, for 180 days; $50,000; and partners: the owners of the public dental benchmarks, and the Stanford-led ARISE network, which ranks AI on patient harm.

Health Transformation Lab · 6

Health Transformation Lab

Drill-down

Backup slides for questions.

  • From the test to the evidence, the two moves, how the agent works, and the uplift
  • The benchmarks, testing our own models, and the double-click
  • Why a network, the precedents, and building on the standards
  • The phased plan and the success metrics

From the test to the evidence

Each question drills down to published science

1 · On the benchmark

The question

“I have no dental insurance and a bad toothache. How can I pay for care, and where can I go?”

2 · From clinicians and scientists

The right answer

What a correct, safe answer must include, and what would make it wrong or unsafe.

3 · One click further

The evidence

The published studies and guidelines the question and its answer come from, so anyone can check it.

Experts decide the questions. Public evidence backs the answers. Every AI model that takes the test is measured against the same science.

Illustrative question. Clinicians and scientists choose the real questions and the evidence behind each · Drill-down

The two moves

Make the test fair, and show the gain

1 · The main move

Put the right questions on the test

Write the questions the tests leave out: where medical meets dental (medicines, chronic disease, emergencies), and the social factors of care (cost, coverage, distance, transportation). Each one traces back to published evidence.

2 · Then show the lift

Show what the evidence adds

Publish one open AI agent built on public research and guidelines, to show and encourage measurable lift in the leading AI models on those questions.

What gets tested is what AI developers improve. A high score helps one model. A fairer test helps everyone.

Health Transformation Lab · Drill-down

How the agent works

One question, and where the lab fits

1

Someone asks

A person with no dentist, a doctor or a policymaker asks an oral health question.

2

Their AI

The AI tool they already use, such as ChatGPT, Claude or Copilot.

3

The open agent

The AI checks published research, public guidelines and public data.

4

A better answer

The story, the number and the source, built on public evidence.

Two ways we help. Make the answers better with public evidence. And shape the benchmarks, so they not only measure accuracy but also include the social determinants of health that are missing today.

We measure in public: accuracy, safety, and the agent’s share of the gain. The goal is to shape the benchmarks, not only to score well · Drill-down

What we would bring back

The uplift, starting with access to care

CategoryAI on its ownWith the agentUpliftCost per answer
Getting care: when, where, how to pay (first)To measureTo measureTo measureTo measure
Clinical casesTo measureTo measureTo measureTo measure
Medical-dental integrationTo measureTo measureTo measureTo measure
Barriers to careTo measureTo measureTo measureTo measure
Cost and coverageTo measureTo measureTo measureTo measure

Start where the mission is, then compare. First the questions people ask about getting care. Then the same test in other areas, to see where the evidence adds the most for the least cost.

Nothing here is measured yet. A fair test: same questions, and judges who do not know which answer is which · Drill-down

Where no test exists, we can help write it

Public AI tests across oral health

AreaClosest public test todayThe gap
Medical-dental integrationOne category in the global dental test: systemic health, medicines and safetyNo test of its own
Social needs (SDOH)Tests of AI finding social factors in medical records, and Google’s health equity question setsNone checks if an answer works for someone with no coverage or transport
EducationDental and medical licensing-exam questions, including the exam part of the dental testTests what AI knows, not whether professionals learn
GrantsOne 2026 study of AI reviewing six research grant proposalsNo standing test, and none for philanthropy
Policy and advocacyA UK public health guidance test with 8,000 questions, and a government policy testNothing on oral health policy

arXiv 2605.24636, 2603.08281, 2505.06046, 2511.04705, 2406.06056, 2403.12025. A first search, not a full review · Drill-down

Frontiers are where the future is settled

Get in the game

The leading models, extended

RankHealth AI modelWith the open agent
1Claude Sonnet 5.5+ uplift, to be measured
2Claude Mythos 5+ uplift, to be measured
3Claude Mythos Preview+ uplift, to be measured

We do not compete with these models. They are the teams. Oral health evidence is a talented rookie no scout has seen.

Next: in the game

1

Publish one open AI agent built on public evidence

2

Connect it to the leading AI models

3

Measure the overall score and the uplift, and publish both

Context matters. Relationships matter.

Today oral health plays the AI game in private, and unmeasured. Time to rethink publishing: papers, plus an AI agent that is tested in public.

Source: HealthBench leaderboard, benchmarklist.com, updated Sep 29, 2026 · Health Transformation Lab · Drill-down

What a better answer looks like

The story, the number and the source

The human side

The story

A real person’s experience, shared with consent, or a public education video. It is what people remember.

The finance side

The number

Cost, visits and savings, each with one agreed definition, so reports, dashboards and the AI give the same figure.

The evidence

The source

The research or data behind it, one click away, so anyone can check it.

A story without a number is an anecdote. A number without a story is forgotten. We give both, with the source.

The technical name for “one agreed definition” is a metric definition, such as a Databricks metric view · Drill-down

The problem

A doctor asks AI about a tooth

2 a.m., emergency room

A patient arrives with a swollen jaw. The doctor asks an AI tool what to do.

22%

Average score of 12 leading AI models on dental case questions.

This is where medical and dental now meet. Linked dental, medical and emergency records, in one shared format, could make that answer better.

Source: GlobalDentBench, arXiv 2605.24636 · Health Transformation Lab · Drill-down

The open option: Google’s MedGemma

A model we could own and publish

What it is

Google’s open AI models for medical text and medical images. Free to download and adapt.

Why it fits

It reads medical images, and Google’s list does not include dental. A dental version would be new, and open to share.

What it takes

De-identified data, a privacy and legal review, and modest computing.

Today most health AI is rented. This would be an open model anyone can check. Google says MedGemma is not yet clinical-grade, so this supports research and tools, not diagnosis.

Source: Google Health AI Developer Foundations, MedGemma (page updated Jan 13, 2026) · Drill-down

Why now

Same science, a new trajectory

People reached and helped

Time

Built on public science

We are here

A small first step: 180 days, part-time

Public, measured wins build confidence

From frontier to mainstream: the major players take notice

Today's path: research that reaches experts. Trusted, steady, and it continues.

A sketch of the idea, not a forecast · Health Transformation Lab · Drill-down

The thinking shift

Same question, two paths to an answer

Today: they go to the research

1

Find a portal or a report

2

Choose a data source

3

Request access

4

Learn the tool, run the analysis

A trusted answer, for those who finish the path

What the lab adds: the research goes to them

1

Ask in the AI tool they already use

2

It draws on published science

3

The answer comes with the story and the numbers

A trusted answer, in the moment they ask

Today's path stays. Agreements remain for sensitive data · Health Transformation Lab · Drill-down

The double-click

From a human story to the KPI to the data

1 · The story

In her own AI tool, a county health director watches a veteran's short video about a toothache that sent him to the ER.

2 · The KPI

One click shows the measure behind it: adult dental ER visits in her county.

3 · The data

Another click opens the public data behind the KPI, such as state emergency-room statistics.

4 · The graph

A social graph links stories, education videos, KPIs, definitions and datasets, so each one leads to the others.

She never had to learn a data portal.

Illustrative example · Drill-down

Public access through Hugging Face and MCP

Three paths in, each with safeguards

Path 1

Open

Anyone. Benchmarks, definitions, model cards and aggregate, de-identified measures under an open license.

Path 2

Registered

Sign in and accept terms of use. The lab’s models and agents, called through MCP or an API, with usage limits and logging.

Path 3

Agreement

A signed data use agreement, reviewed and approved, for detailed or licensed data in a secure environment.

Safeguards on all three paths: no personal health information leaves the platform; licensed and payer data stay under the agreements they came with; each model and agent is benchmarked and reviewed by privacy and legal before release.

Proposed design, for privacy and legal review · Drill-down

Building on the standards

Embrace the standards, then extend them

Embrace

Map oral health data to the standard medicine already uses, so medical researchers can work with it on day one.

Extend

Help lead OMOP's dental extension, and work with standards bodies to get oral health into the standard healthcare benchmarks.

Connect

Knowing how health data connects in OMOP also builds the graph and search layers that give AI its knowledge.

These are shared standards. Oral health can hold a pivotal seat at the table.

Health Transformation Lab · Drill-down

It has been done

Niche tools that became infrastructure

REDCap

Started: 2004, a data tool for Vanderbilt's own researchers.

Became: free to nonprofits; nearly 8,000 institutions in 163 countries.

OHDSI

Started: a narrow drug-safety research project.

Became: a global open-science community: the OMOP data standard, shared vocabularies, open-source tools and network studies.

Healthtalk.org

Started: 2001, two Oxford doctors collecting patients' own stories.

Became: research-grade story library; its method adopted in 14 countries.

The pattern: own the shared standard, give the tool away, let others bring the content.

Sources: Vanderbilt CTTC; OHDSI; healthtalk.org · Drill-down

The plan in phases

A phased start, sized for part-time work

Phase 1

First 180 days. Build one open AI agent on published research, public guidelines and synthetic records with known answers. Test it on medical-dental and access-to-care questions, with and without it, and measure the uplift.

Phase 2

If phase 1 earns it. Tune an open medical AI model, Google’s MedGemma, on de-identified oral health data. That gives oral health an open model anyone can check.

Phase 3

Later. Publish it after privacy and legal review, open it to partners with safeguards, and report whether it helped people.

The ask covers phase 1 only: a small team at 5 to 10 hours a week each for 180 days, $50,000, and a data-platform partner.

Health Transformation Lab · Drill-down

Health Transformation Lab

Oral health for all.

Millions, directly, in public, and verified.

Give us 180 days to measure it.